{"id":4273,"date":"2021-02-07T20:01:42","date_gmt":"2021-02-07T20:01:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/aurelis.org\/blog\/?p=4273"},"modified":"2021-08-14T07:10:52","modified_gmt":"2021-08-14T07:10:52","slug":"36-vaccine-or-vaccination","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/aurelis.org\/blog\/minding-corona\/36-vaccine-or-vaccination","title":{"rendered":"36. Vaccine or Vaccination?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

This text is not for the faint-hearted. Even so, before you read on, make sure you understand that MUCH OF THIS IS STILL HYPOTHETICAL, HOWEVER, PROBABLE ENOUGH TO BE TAKEN INTO ACCOUNT.<\/span><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

February 6, 2021<\/p>\n\n\n\n

 <\/strong><\/td>Daily<\/strong><\/strong><\/td>Total<\/strong><\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Cases worldwide<\/td>495.819<\/strong><\/strong><\/td>105.906.560<\/strong><\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Deaths worldwide<\/td>14.592<\/strong><\/strong><\/td>2.307.879<\/strong><\/strong><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Please, in any case, read this short introduction<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

It’s not because psychotherapy works (very well, even) that psychotherapeutic models and techniques work. With scientific certainty, they don’t. [see: “Psychotherapy vs.<\/a> Psychotherapies<\/a>“]<\/p>\n\n\n\n

It’s not because yearly 650.000 knee operations of a specific kind were performed in the US, with good results, that the procedure itself was effective. It wasn’t. [see: “A Tale of Placebo: Arthritis of the Knee<\/a>“]<\/p>\n\n\n\n

It’s not because some 250 Million people take antidepressants daily that these work very well apart from placebo. According to the type of study, their placebo-part ranges from 80% to practically 100%. [see: “Antidepressants on a Plate<\/a>“]<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Etc. etc.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Before you laugh away the following, you should have proper answers to many issues such as those above or at least one excellent depthless answer to one of them. Spoiler alert: there is none.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

It’s not because COVID-vaccinations (in broad context) work well that COVID-vaccines work well.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

You may remember my image of the whirlpool in which material and mental factors play a role. [see: “COVID-Whirlpool<\/a>“] Imagine being near the whirlpool. A few steps in one or the other direction are enough to keep safe or not. That’s all it needs \u2015 not much. According to hypothesis, apparently, the vaccination is enough to perform this for the time being. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to the same hypothesis, humanity is soon made to fly on only one decently acknowledged wing. If, for one reason or the other (many candidates exist), faith in the other wing evaporates, it doesn’t work anymore, and people may fall in droves.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

I cannot readily think of a more dangerous situation in the past of humankind. At least, with science in mind and with what is at stake, it should be investigated. It should have been a year ago.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

I send this message to the future: I did my best. Before you judge me, please take into account the whole situation. My name is Jean-Luc, not Lucky Luke the Lonesome Cowboy, although I can shoot pretty well if need be.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Curves and numbers<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

(from https:\/\/www.worldometers.info\/coronavirus\/<\/a>)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

There is some slowing down in these numbers, worldwide, hesitatingly, while the hope of many rests on the shoulders of vaccines. Massive campaigns are put in place to get as many people vaccinated as possible.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The quickest progress is made in Israel, with one-third of the population already vaccinated. Reports show excellent results in numbers of cases of infection and deaths (effectiveness up to > 90%). The differences between the vaccinate and the non-vaccinated are remarkable. A point of caution is that this comes during a tightening of the third Israeli lockdown. As to mortality in the total Israeli population, this is the curve today from https:\/\/www.worldometers.info\/coronavirus\/country\/israel\/<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Does this show the effect of the vaccines?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Several vaccine RCTs have revealed a high to very high efficacy. However, scrutinizing this research in light of placebo, nocebo, and blindness breach, the results of the studies may be seriously flawed. This means, they are inconclusive. I posted some rapid responses about this in the British Medical Journal:<\/p>\n\n\n\n